Vol. 7, Issue 8, Part J (2025)

This Research project presents a comprehensive study of data from 2004 to 2024 in Dynamics of arrivals and prices of Apple and Banana in APMC, Nagpur. The study aims to examine the trends and variations through Compound Growth rate, Coefficient of variation, seasonal and cyclical indices. In the present study, the secondary data on arrivals and prices of Apple and Banana for the period of 20 years i.e. from 2004-2024 collected from Agmark.net and APMC office Nagpur to analysed growth rate, variability, trends, seasonal and cyclical behaviour of Apple and Banana in APMC, Nagpur. Apple – (Malus Domestica) temperate fruit and 4rth among most produce fruit in world after banana, orange and grapes (NHB). According to USDA (2024-25) – India rank 5th in global production and contribute 3%. Banana - (Musa sp.) 2nd important fruit crop in India after Mango. Banana grown in 120 countries among that India lead the world (NHB).
There are different analytical tools used like CAGR, CV, SI and CI. Growth rate of arrivals of Apple declined significantly by 0.51% per annum during second period and prices increased by 0.73% and 0.47% per annum during first and overall period respectively. For Banana arrivals declined by 1.39, 2.45 and 1.57 percent per annum during first, second and overall period respectively. Banana prices increased by 0.76 and 0.30 percent per annum during first and overall period respectively. The variability in arrivals and prices of Apple was high in first period (2004-14). In case of Banana variability of arrivals was high in overall period (2004-24) and prices in first period (2004-14). The trend analysis revealed that, both prices and arrivals of Apple followed cubic trend and exponential trend followed by arrivals of Banana and cubic by prices. There exist seasonality in the arrivals and prices of Apple and Banana in APMC Nagpur. Higher values of arrivals of Apple found in the months of August followed by September and October, after it start declining. Prices of Apple was high during April, may and june. Higher arrivals of Banana found in a month of August, September and October then it start decreasing. Prices was high during December, January, February and March. cyclical variations observed in both arrivals and prices of Apple and Banana. The higher arrivals of Apple recorded during the year 2010, 2015, 2018 and 2019, while prices during 2011, 2012 and
2016. Similarly for Banana high arrival during the year 2004, 2008 and 2012. From 2021 to 2024 Banana shows negative cyclical indices. It means least arrival during these year in APMC Nagpur. Prices high during year 2010, 2011 & 2012.